Looks approx 95 % certain that next week will be dominated westerly snow showers/ blizzards. Silly amounts in the west, and wind strengths will be more than enough for them to get across to the east as well. A bacon saver for this season.
Fingers crossed, hoping the westerly systems will deliver the goods, so far this season has been dismal to say the least, with endless hairdryer spells that has dented the snow pack and not allowing to consolidate into a good base.
It's been confirmed we are in a La Nina event at present and we are also approaching the minimum of a solar cycle. What are the thoughts on these two events on the Scottish ski season? Any historical correlation with a snowier winter or otherwise?
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Last Visited: 23:28 2nd Dec 2021
Re: The Mother of all Snow Ramping Threads 2...
Date Posted: 16.44hrs on Tue 27 Oct 20
On a Dutch wintersport site scanning this season winter predictions, perticipations levels are expected to be higher then normal in Scotland. Temperatures normal on long term average.
So could be a lot of snow, then again, it's scotland so downpoors could also be.. well.. constant rain.
Something to keep in mind, winter 2013/14 was more above average temperature than 2012 or 2017!
The El NiŮo Southern Oscillationís one clear trend seems to be that very strong El Ninos are bad news, moderate El Ninos on the other hand match up to some big winters. A record super Nina is being forecast by the CFS which is uncharted territory.
We are at the very start of solar cycle 25 and solar activity remains very low, there is enough of a correlation to say the early stages of the climb from solar minimum do seem to load the dice in our favour - but itís still a roll of the dice!
This video looks at winter analogues to the early part of solar cycles:
Edited 1 times. Last edit at 16.45hrs Tue 27 Oct 20 by alan.